Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Mary's
West Coast
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#69
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#73
Pace61.2#323
Improvement-6.8#349

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#45
Improvement-6.0#349

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#120
Improvement-0.7#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.9% n/a n/a
Second Round0.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 39   Louisiana Tech W 83-70 47%     1 - 0 +20.9 +20.7 +1.0
  Nov 12, 2013 136   Akron W 85-63 78%     2 - 0 +21.2 +12.8 +8.1
  Nov 14, 2013 67   North Dakota St. W 78-65 59%     3 - 0 +18.0 +16.5 +3.5
  Nov 16, 2013 176   Drake W 67-63 85%     4 - 0 +0.3 -4.1 +4.7
  Nov 24, 2013 326   Alcorn St. W 72-55 97%     5 - 0 +2.2 -1.0 +4.7
  Nov 30, 2013 167   Murray St. W 89-64 83%     6 - 0 +22.2 +22.9 +2.2
  Dec 08, 2013 228   Eastern Washington W 93-65 90%     7 - 0 +21.2 +8.4 +11.0
  Dec 14, 2013 68   @ Boise St. W 82-74 39%     8 - 0 +18.1 +9.0 +8.9
  Dec 19, 2013 124   American W 59-44 75%     9 - 0 +15.2 +2.9 +16.0
  Dec 22, 2013 113   South Carolina L 71-78 63%     9 - 1 -3.1 +6.1 -9.8
  Dec 23, 2013 135   @ Hawaii L 74-76 59%     9 - 2 +2.9 +9.2 -6.6
  Dec 25, 2013 137   George Mason L 63-65 69%     9 - 3 +0.0 -3.1 +2.9
  Dec 30, 2013 153   @ Pacific W 88-80 63%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +11.8 +16.3 -4.3
  Jan 02, 2014 23   @ Gonzaga L 51-73 19%     10 - 4 1 - 1 -5.6 -8.2 +0.8
  Jan 04, 2014 110   @ Portland W 72-63 52%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +15.7 +6.2 +10.0
  Jan 09, 2014 152   Santa Clara L 55-57 80%     11 - 5 2 - 2 -3.6 -7.3 +3.1
  Jan 11, 2014 81   San Francisco W 88-73 64%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +18.6 +29.9 -8.7
  Jan 18, 2014 153   Pacific W 79-73 80%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +4.3 +6.2 -1.7
  Jan 23, 2014 156   Pepperdine W 80-74 81%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +4.0 +5.1 -1.1
  Jan 25, 2014 174   Loyola Marymount W 89-61 84%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +24.6 +6.1 +15.9
  Jan 30, 2014 133   @ San Diego L 43-61 58%     15 - 6 6 - 3 -12.9 -19.0 +3.1
  Feb 01, 2014 47   @ BYU L 71-84 29%     15 - 7 6 - 4 +0.0 +2.1 -1.9
  Feb 06, 2014 174   @ Loyola Marymount W 77-58 69%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +21.2 +3.9 +17.0
  Feb 08, 2014 156   @ Pepperdine W 69-67 OT 64%     17 - 7 8 - 4 +5.6 -4.7 +10.2
  Feb 13, 2014 133   San Diego W 69-57 77%     18 - 7 9 - 4 +11.5 +17.2 -2.2
  Feb 15, 2014 47   BYU L 57-60 49%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +4.4 -1.7 +5.5
  Feb 20, 2014 81   @ San Francisco L 62-73 43%     18 - 9 9 - 6 -1.8 +2.4 -6.1
  Feb 22, 2014 152   @ Santa Clara W 76-54 63%     19 - 9 10 - 6 +25.9 +15.0 +14.1
  Feb 27, 2014 110   Portland W 70-61 72%     20 - 9 11 - 6 +10.1 +8.6 +3.0
  Mar 01, 2014 23   Gonzaga L 47-75 37%     20 - 10 11 - 7 -17.2 -14.8 -5.0
  Mar 08, 2014 156   Pepperdine W 80-69 73%     21 - 10 +11.8 +12.4 +0.2
  Mar 10, 2014 23   Gonzaga L 54-70 27%     21 - 11 -2.4 -8.9 +5.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 2.1% 2.1% 11.9 0.2 1.9 0.0 97.9 2.1%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.1% 0.0% 2.1% 11.9 0.2 1.9 0.0 97.9 2.1%